VH
Verano Holdings Corp. (VRNOF)·Q2 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q2 revenue was $202.3M, down 3.6% q/q and 9.0% y/y, and missed S&P Global consensus of $210.9M by ~4.1%* . Gross margin expanded to 56% from 47% in Q1; Adjusted EBITDA was $66.2M (33% margin), up from $54.4M (26%) in Q1 .
- EPS came in at -$0.0585 vs consensus -$0.0498* (miss), and revenue trajectory reflected price compression, competition, and wholesale impacts from AR strategy* .
- Management emphasized efficiencies (cultivation yields, automation) and product innovation driving margin recovery; expects a stronger H2 2025 and a “more historical ~30% adjusted EBITDA margin profile” through the remainder of 2025 .
- Capex was $10M; full-year 2025 capex outlook discussed on the call was $30–$45M (higher than the $25–$40M guide disclosed in Feb), a potential narrative shift toward targeted growth and efficiency investments .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Margin recovery: Gross margin rose to 56% (from 47% in Q1), and Adjusted EBITDA margin reached 33% on improved yields and operational efficiencies .
- Product/retail execution: New product innovation and multiple dispensary openings (FL, CT) supported retail performance; management: “we generated more efficient and productive cultivation yields, delivered new product innovation, and improved retail performance in several key markets” .
- Operating discipline: SG&A held at $86.3M (43% of revenue), reflecting ongoing efficiencies; net cash from operations improved to $11M vs $8M y/y .
What Went Wrong
- Top-line pressure: Revenue declined to $202.3M (down from $222.4M y/y; down from $209.8M q/q), driven by price compression, competition, and wholesale AR tightening .
- Wholesale headwinds: Management reiterated AR strategy as a deliberate constraint on wholesale revenue near term while they prioritize creditworthy customers .
- Net loss widened q/q on higher tax provision: Net loss was $(19.2)M vs $(11.5)M in Q1; income tax expense rose to $35.2M vs $17.3M in Q1 .
Financial Results
Notes: Company reports in thousands; figures shown as $USD Millions by conversion for readability.
Actuals vs S&P Global Consensus
Values with asterisk (*) retrieved from S&P Global.
Estimate comparison highlights:
- Q2 revenue missed consensus by ~$8.6M (4.1%); EPS missed by ~$0.009 .
- EBITDA consensus was $57.7M* vs company-reported EBITDA of $61.7M (company definition per PR reconciliation) . Differences may reflect definition variances between SPGI consensus and company-reported EBITDA.
KPIs and Balance Sheet
Guidance Changes
No explicit revenue, OpEx, OI&E, tax rate, or segment guidance was provided in the Q2 press release. Management reiterated expectations for a stronger back half of 2025 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Management Commentary
- CEO: “we generated more efficient and productive cultivation yields, delivered new product innovation, and improved retail performance in several key markets” .
- CEO: “we anticipate a stronger second half of 2025 for Verano” .
- Call: “We expect to maintain a more historical 30% adjusted EBITDA margin profile throughout the remainder of 2025” .
- Wholesale/AR: “As a first mover on this issue, we anticipated our accounts receivable strategy would impact revenue in the short term… we believe these actions will benefit our wholesale business in the long term” .
Q&A Highlights
- Wholesale revenue and AR policy: Management reiterated selective wholesale engagement to creditworthy customers, expecting gradual reactivation through 2025 .
- Margin vs pricing balance: CFO noted a balance between maintaining margin strength and tactical pricing to protect share; product innovation expected to support margins .
- Efficiency wins in Florida and Illinois: Yield improvements and operational changes boosted margin profile .
- Regulatory outlook: Positive commentary around Pennsylvania adult-use prospects; management monitoring potential timing and impact .
- Capex and cash: Q2 capex $10M and a full-year range of $30–$45M focused on efficiencies and strategic retail expansion; cash balance context discussed .
Estimates Context
- Revenue: Q2 actual $202.3M vs consensus $210.9M* (miss). Q1 actual $209.8M vs $212.8M* (miss). Q4 actual $218.2M vs $218.9M* (in line) .
- EPS: Q2 actual -$0.0585 vs -$0.0498* (miss); Q1 actual -$0.0453 vs -$0.0476* (slight beat); Q4 actual $0.0362 vs -$0.0700* (beat). Values with asterisk () retrieved from S&P Global.
- Implications: Expect estimate revisions to incorporate wholesale AR constraints, stronger margin trajectory, and adjusted FY25 capex plans.
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Margin normalization appears underway: gross margin 56%, adjusted EBITDA margin 33%; management targets ~30% adjusted EBITDA margin through H2, signaling operational progress .
- Top-line headwinds persist (pricing, competition, AR strategy), driving revenue misses vs consensus; watch wholesale reactivation cadence as a key H2 driver* .
- Retail and product innovation are offsetting factors: new formats (AZ bodega-style), IL partnership (Grow Sciences), and store openings (FL/CT) support mix and margin .
- Balance sheet discipline continues: cash $68.6M, working capital $224M, total debt $403M; net cash from ops improved to $11M .
- Capex outlook increased to $30–$45M vs prior $25–$40M, focused on efficiency and selective footprint investments—monitor ROI and margin leverage .
- Regulatory optionality (PA adult-use, Florida dynamics) remains a medium-term catalyst; estimate paths likely adjust as visibility improves .
- Near-term trading setup: revenue miss vs consensus and AR-driven wholesale pressure offset by margin recovery; focus on H2 execution signals and any wholesale normalization updates on subsequent calls* .
References:
- Q2 2025 press release and 8-K exhibits, including financial tables and non-GAAP reconciliations .
- Q1 2025 8-K and press release .
- Q4 2024 8-K and press release .
- Q2 2025 earnings call transcript (Verano IR site) .
- Additional Q2 press releases: bodega-style AZ format , IL Grow Sciences partnership , FL footprint expansion .
S&P Global disclaimer: Values marked with an asterisk (*) were retrieved from S&P Global.